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Analysis of the sea-ice concentration (SIC) in Subarea 48.6, research blocks 2, 3, 4 and 5 with sea-surface temperature (SST) and statistical models

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Numéro du document:
WG-SAM-2019/15
Auteur(s):
T. Namba, R. Sarralde, H. Pehlke, K. Teschke, T. Brey, S. Hain, T. Ichii, T. Okuda, S. Somhlaba and J. Pompert
Soumis par:
Roberto Sarralde Vizuete (Espagne)
Approuvé par:
Roberto Sarralde Vizuete (Espagne)
Accessibility Categories
Request permission to release each time (RP)
Point(s) de l'ordre du jour
Résumé

An Analysis of the sea ice concentration (SIC) in research blocks 2,3,4, and 5 of subarea 48.6, with sea surface temperature(SST) and statistical models is presented. 

For research block 4, the SIC in 2019 was the highest for the last 4 years (2016-2019). For research block 5, the SIC in 2019 was also as high as in 2016 but around the west of block 5 the SIC in 2019 was much lower than in 2016. The lower SST anomalies corresponds to the higher SICs in 2019 both in research blocks 4 and 5 and vice versa. The chart of the SIC as per HYCOM corresponds well to the SIC derived from data by the University of Bremen(AMSR2). Repeated Accessibility(RA) in research blocks 4 and 5 with statistical models, where the limit of navigability for fishing vessels is set at 20 % SIC, was calculated. It should become possible to predict the accessibility to research blocks 4 and 5 with the model in cooperation with HYCOM.